Market Research
Macro Expectation Thermometer
Track prediction-market probabilities, official-data pressure, and asset repricing risk before turning macro views into trade analysis.
Public delayed research view
Macro Temperature
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Official Data
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Easing Probability
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EV Score
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Research Logic
- Start with market-implied expectations for macro and breaking events, then keep only lines with enough liquidity, volume, and time relevance to study.
- Compare those expectations with official data, central-bank calendars, policy communications, and reaction-function pressure.
- Only then translate the gap into asset pricing, volatility, and trade expected value.
This page is for market research and educational display only. Prediction-market prices are not official probabilities and do not constitute investment advice.